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Total return in the call's direction across recent tracked long and short calls.
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Rental prices for Nvidia's most advanced chips are climbing, older chips are being locked into long-term contracts stretching years out, and over half a trillion dollars of outside capital is flowing into AI infrastructure — all of which suggests Nvidia can keep charging premium prices for its GPUs for a long time, making the stock a buy.
CoreWeave is a buy because GPU-powered data centers are becoming the kind of hard, predictable infrastructure — like buildings or planes — that banks and investors are willing to finance long-term, and as long as demand for AI computing keeps outpacing supply, that financial staying power makes the business increasingly valuable.
The S&P 500 is trading at stretched price levels that are built on investors simply paying more for the same earnings rather than actual profit growth, so if credit conditions tighten even slightly, the index could drop more than 10% — making SPY a short.