With the odds of the Fed holding rates steady in July now at 82% after the latest inflation data, 2-year Treasury futures (ZT) caught a buyer and look set to hold up well, meaning any stock market dips driven by rate fears should be brief and shallow.
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With the Fed likely to hold rates steady and bond prices stabilizing, any dip in S&P 500 futures caused by interest rate fears should be brief and shallow, making it a buying opportunity.
Capital Flows argues that the failed hype around the Cerebras IPO marked the peak of speculative AI sentiment while SK Hynix's subsequent move signaled the bottom, and that cycle now points to NVIDIA as the dominant long-term winner in AI as each supply bottleneck shifts from chips to memory and back — keeping NVIDIA at the center of every leg of the trade.