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Total return in the call's direction across recent tracked long and short calls.
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Bumble is being taken private at $6.05 a share — over 90% below its 2021 peak — and while the deal leaves little room to profit now, the author flags it as a cautionary tale about how management destroyed shareholder value by buying back its own stock at an average of $9.75 a share, nearly 60% above where it's being sold today.
Meta's AI models have reached a level where they can compete with the best in the industry, and the thesis is that this progress will make Meta's advertising business stronger and harder for rivals to displace over time, making the stock a buy.
The author sees Netflix's current struggles — including layoffs and internal restructuring — as similar to early 2022, a tough period that ultimately preceded a big stock recovery, suggesting history could repeat and the stock is worth buying now.