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The case for buying Ally Financial is that its bad batch of auto loans from 2022 is mostly behind it, the newer loans it's been writing since 2023 carry higher interest rates and went to more creditworthy borrowers, and the 21% jump in new loan volume this year suggests the business is gaining real momentum under those better lending standards.
Capital One's auto loan business is growing at roughly the same strong pace as Ally Financial's, which suggests the improving conditions that have made Ally look attractive are lifting the whole industry — and Capital One stands to benefit just as much, making it a buy.
The Compound thinks gold shot past what its fundamentals justify on a wave of speculative money, and now that the Iran conflict is prompting investors to sell reserve assets like gold to free up cash for other positions, that momentum has flipped and gold is heading lower.